Dynamic uncertainty model of regional hydro-Wind-Solar power generation on reinforcement learning

Author Names:
Wei Zhang, Shaoyong Liu, Kangdi Huang, Jinwen Luo, Wan Li, Mengjie Li
Author Affiliation:
Scientific and Technological Research Institute, China Three Gorges Corporation, Beijing 101100, China
Author Email:
uf6880@163.com
Publication Date:
June 5, 2026

Page numbers:

DOI Number:

https://doi.org/10.1177/14727978251348623

Abstract:

The integration of large-scale regional water-wind-solar hybrid energy systems poses challenges to power grid stability due to persistent fluctuations that conventional automatic generation control (AGC) systems struggle to mitigate effectively. To address this issue and optimize frequency modulation resource utilization, this study presents a bidirectional communication-based AGC optimization strategy. The proposed approach enhances reinforcement learning algorithms through a dual-estimation framework, enabling dynamic power distribution among generation units. Simultaneously, the methodology incorporates coordinated grid power flow adjustments to achieve integrated uncertainty modeling and coordinated optimization for regional hydro-wind power systems. Experimental validation demonstrates that the enhanced control strategy achieves an improvement of 2.2%–5.8% in Control Performance Standard (CPS) metrics compared with conventional methods, confirming superior system regulation capability.
Keywords:
automatic power generation control, area control, uncertainty modeling, power allocation, reinforcement learning
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