Transmission line icing prediction based on multi-source monitoring data
Author Names:
Hui Yuan, Zhixin Duan, Jinsong Li, Xiaokai Meng
Author Affiliation:
State Grid Shanxi Electric Power Research Institute, Taiyuan, China
Author Email:
yuanhui2088@126.com
Publication Date:
June 5, 2026
Page numbers:
DOI Number:
https://doi.org/10.1177/14727978251380836
Abstract:
With the development of smart grids, accurate and real-time transmission line icing prediction is crucial for power system safety. Traditional methods struggle to capture the complexity of icing formation and multi-factor interactions. To address this, we propose a Multi-source Spatiotemporal Attention Network (MSTAN) for icing thickness prediction. MSTAN integrates meteorological, line status, and environmental data to fully characterize influencing factors. A ConvLSTM module extracts spatiotemporal features, modeling both temporal dynamics and spatial correlations. An attention mechanism highlights key features during icing formation, enhancing sensitivity to critical inputs. A multi-source fusion layer is also designed to improve the complementarity of heterogeneous data. Experimental results show that MSTAN outperforms traditional LSTM models, reducing RMSE by 33.1% and increasing R2 by 4.5%, demonstrating its effectiveness and potential for practical application.
Keywords:
transmission line icing, multi-source data fusion, spatiotemporal prediction, ConvLSTM, attention mechanism
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